ETS investment analysis
Carbon returns calculator
This analysis has been prepared for by Moxi. Forest areas and ETS region are pre-filled. You can adjust assumptions to explore different scenarios.

Use this tool to model ETS carbon returns for any forest area. Enter your forest areas below, select your ETS region, and adjust the assumptions to match your situation. The projection covers 25 years across three NZU price scenarios.

Property details
ETS region

ETS regions don't follow standard regional council boundaries.

Forest areas
SpeciesArea (ha)Est. yearPrev. ForestShow
🌿
No forest areas added yet Add an area below to start building your projection.
One or more areas are marked as having a previous forest. An annual residual carbon liability (Pinus radiata harvested at age 28, one year before the establishment year) has been subtracted from carbon revenue for the first 10 years. Where this exceeds the annual carbon gain, that year's revenue is shown as zero. If the previous species or harvest age differed, actual residual carbon may vary — see disclaimer.
Assumptions
Base NZU price ($)
Registration fee ($)
Annual management fee ($/yr)

The base NZU price is pre-filled with the current 12-month volume weighted average from EMS Tradepoint. Registration and management fees vary by property size — contact Moxi for an estimate. Registration fee here should be the total consultant fee only; the MPI area-based registration fee is added automatically.

Annual net earnings

Each bar shows what your forest is expected to earn in that year after all costs. The first year (year 0) shows a negative figure — this is the registration cost, which is a one-off. Gold bars are positive earning years.

Balanced Pessimistic Optimistic
Annual net earnings chart
Cumulative net earnings

This shows your total earnings building up over 25 years. Hover across the chart to see the projected total at any point. Three scenarios are shown — balanced assumes a 2% annual NZU price increase, pessimistic assumes prices stay flat, and optimistic assumes a 3% annual increase.

Cumulative net earnings chart
Investment analysis

The table below shows a full year-by-year breakdown of carbon stock, costs, and returns across all three scenarios.

Internal rate of return (IRR)

IRR is a way of measuring the overall return on an investment, similar to an interest rate. The higher the number, the stronger the return relative to what you put in. It takes into account both the costs and the timing of income over the 25-year period. A dash means the investment does not recover within the 25-year window.

Projections use MPI ETS standard carbon lookup tables. Redwood and exotic hardwood figures are based on proposed new New Zealand lookup tables and are subject to change. Returns are estimates only and subject to NZU price fluctuations. Registration costs shown include the Moxi fee entered above plus the MPI area-based registration fee. MPI annual levy $14.90/ha applies from year 1 (waived for native forest under 6 years of age). Where a previous forest is indicated, residual carbon deductions assume Pinus radiata harvested at age 28, one year prior to the establishment year shown. Actual residual carbon will differ if a different species or harvest age applies.